CDC, OXFORD, STANFORD AGREE, COVID-19 IFR IS UNDER 0.3%

In late May the CDC came out with its best estimates of the symptomatic case fatality ratio and percent of asymptomatic infections. Using these estimates:

Case Fatality Rate is 0.4%

Infection Fatality Rate is 0.26%

That is for all age groups. When you look at just the CFR estimates per age group:

0 – 49 years old: 0.05%

50 – 64 years old: 0.2%

65+ years old: 1.3%

So if you are 49 or younger and get COVID-19 with symptoms your chance of surviving, according to the CDC’s best estimate, is 99.95%.

Two other mainstream sources agree with the CDC.

Oxford University: “Taking account of historical experience, trends in the data, increased number of infections in the population at largest, and potential impact of misclassification of deaths gives a presumed estimate for the COVID-19 IFR somewhere between 0.1% and 0.41%.”

Stanford’s Dr. Ioannidis’s Meta-analysis of 12 studies: “Infection fatality rates ranged from 0.03% to 0.50% and corrected values ranged from 0.02% to 0.40%.”