A site dedicated to making the case for vaccine exemptions using CDC statements, vaccine inserts, and peer reviewed science.
1. Vaccine Safety: A. No Long-Term Data:We do not have safety data for this vaccine beyond the two months of phase 3 data that has been released. There is a legitimate concern that if too many people cross over from the placebo group to the vaccine group, there will never be enough data to establish […]
Pediatrics releases a study looking at incidence of secondary transmission in schools and found: “Over 9 weeks, 11 participating school districts had more than 90,000 students and staff attend school in-person; of these, there were 773 community-acquired SARS-CoV-2 infections documented by molecular testing. Through contact tracing, NC health department staff determined an additional 32 infections […]
In an effort to understand if NJ is currently undergoing a second wave of COVID-19 we will review four key metrics – reproductive number over time (Rt), cases, hospitalizations, and deaths – and how best to understand what is reported in the context of normal seasonal viruses. 1. Rt: The reproductive number calculated over time, […]
Will covid-19 vaccines save lives? Current trials aren’t designed to tell us. We’ve heard from many leaders that we will not return to normal until a vaccine arrives. This statement assumes the vaccine will prevent spread and reduce serious disease. Unfortunately, we won’t know that from the current clinical trials. A recent feature in the […]
Help – The jury is still out The mainstream media seems convinced that the lockdowns helped to stop the spread of SARS-CoV-2, reduced hospitalizations, and limited the death toll from COVID-19. The below graph calls that assumption into question as it show the UK and Peru, both strongly locked down, with the roughly the same […]
The curve & Farr’s Law In the mid-19th century, Dr. William Farr, observed that epidemic events rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern that can be approximated by a bell-shaped curve. He noticed that this time-evolution behavior could be captured by a single mathematical formula (“Farr’s law”) that could be used for epidemic forecasting. […]
In late May the CDC came out with its best estimates of the symptomatic case fatality ratio and percent of asymptomatic infections. Using these estimates: Case Fatality Rate is 0.4% Infection Fatality Rate is 0.26% That is for all age groups. When you look at just the CFR estimates per age group: 0 – 49 […]
Dr. Fauci wrote in The New England Journal of Medicine “…the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza ”