In late May the CDC came out with its best estimates of the symptomatic case fatality ratio and percent of asymptomatic infections. Using these estimates:

Case Fatality Rate is 0.4%

Infection Fatality Rate is 0.26%

That is for all age groups. When you look at just the CFR estimates per age group:

0 – 49 years old: 0.05%

50 – 64 years old: 0.2%

65+ years old: 1.3%

So if you are 49 or younger and get COVID-19 with symptoms your chance of surviving, according to the CDC’s best estimate, is 99.95%.

Two other mainstream sources agree with the CDC.

Oxford University: “Taking account of historical experience, trends in the data, increased number of infections in the population at largest, and potential impact of misclassification of deaths gives a presumed estimate for the COVID-19 IFR somewhere between 0.1% and 0.41%.”

Stanford’s Dr. Ioannidis’s Meta-analysis of 12 studies: “Infection fatality rates ranged from 0.03% to 0.50% and corrected values ranged from 0.02% to 0.40%.”

Take Action:

1. Sign up for NJ Vaccine Science action alerts via email.


2. Stay Informed – check our our Blog and Advocacy Home page for action items, follow us on Twitter, and like us on Facebook.


3. Call and Email your Senator and Assemblymembers – ask them to oppose bill S902/A969. Use this link to find your representatives’ phone number and send them a message.


4. Call and Email the Bill Sponsors: Senate President Sweeney: / 856-251-9801; Assemblyman Conway / (856) 461-3997


If you live in Legislative District 11 sign our D11 Petition to protect NJ’s RE. 

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